- Scaramucci predicts a 4x increase for Bitcoin post-halving.
- The exec advocated for proper research before dismissing BTC.
Amid the growing anticipation around the Bitcoin [BTC] halving, investor predictions are making rounds. The latest one comes from Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital.
Speaking to CNBC TV, Scaramucci highlighted a historical trend observed over the last 14 years, suggesting that BTC’s value typically quadruples post-halving. He speculated,
“I’m not sure where it’ll be on or about April 20th when the halving actually takes place, but let’s say it’s at $50,000; that would imply over 18 months from the halving a $200,000 Bitcoin price.”
He attributed this surge to a constrained supply amid burgeoning demand, particularly from new spot ETFs entering the market, which trade at volumes 12 to 14 times the daily network output.
This scenario, coupled with the plight of Bitcoin skeptics who are currently facing losses, is believed to be driving the significant price appreciation. At press time, BTC was trading at over $59,000, appreciating around 40% over the last month.
The exec also went after Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, and his criticism of Bitcoin. He said,
“I would just ask him to please do more homework because people like Paul Tudor Jones or Stan Druckenmiller, or somebody like Larry Fink, who’s actually done the homework, were perhaps negative on Bitcoin prior to doing the homework. It’s a one-way ticket towards Bitcoin if you actually do the homework to fully understand the asset.”
He suggested that understanding the fundamentals can lead to eventual rewards even if one’s initial stance seems incorrect in the short term.
Is Bitcoin more stable than gold?
Drawing a comparison to gold, a $6 trillion asset, the SkyBridge founder argued that Bitcoin, with its ease of transfer and similar properties, should aspire to reach at least half of gold’s market value. This projection suggests an eightfold increase by 2030.
Scaramucci also critiqued the central banking system’s currency management, particularly since the detachment from the gold standard in 1971. He claimed this led to the US dollar losing 98% of its purchasing power in 52 years.
However, Bitcoin presents a corrective to the perceived mismanagement, offering a more stable and secure asset in the long run. Scaramucci remarked,
“This decentralized fully transparent currency is definitely going to rise in value…maybe it won’t be the currency standard for the world, but it certainly could replace gold or be alongside gold as a store of value.”
Bitcoin ETF inflows overshadow gold ETFs
Analysts are optimistic that Bitcoin could surpass the market capitalization of gold, mirroring its dominance over silver. Since their introduction, Bitcoin ETFs have attracted billions of dollars, while gold ETFs have seen a significant withdrawal of funds.
According to ETF.com, gold ETFs have witnessed around $3.6 billion in outflows, reducing their assets under management (AUM) to $92.5 billion.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs have seen remarkable inflows, amounting to $5 billion, bringing their total AUM to $37.6 billion.